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Forecast and analysis of China's photovoltaic industry market status and development trend in 2022
Jul 29 , 2022

China Business Intelligence Network: In 2021, my country's newly installed photovoltaic power generation grid-connected capacity will be about 53 million kilowatts, ranking first in the world for nine consecutive years; the newly installed capacity will reach 54.93 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 14%. By the end of 2021, the grid-connected installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation will reach 306 million kilowatts, breaking the 300 million kilowatt mark and ranking first in the world for seven consecutive years. The latest data shows that from January to February 2022, China's installed photovoltaic power generation capacity is about 310 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 20.9%. The newly installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation was about 10.86 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 7.61 million kilowatts.

The future development trend of photovoltaic industry

First : Policies favor centralized + distributed dual-drive development

Recently, eight ministries and commissions have successively issued "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating Rural Energy Transformation and Development to Help Rural Revitalization", "Action Plan for Innovative Development of Smart Photovoltaic Industry (2021-2025)" and "On Promoting the High-quality Development of Central Enterprises to Achieve Carbon Peak". Favorable policy documents such as Guiding Opinions on Carbon Neutrality Work have determined the development path of centralized + distributed dual-drive, and laid a policy foundation for the 2022 photovoltaic explosion. It is expected that the simultaneous development of distributed and centralized will become the two major paths for photovoltaic development in 2022.

Second :  The development momentum of distributed photovoltaic is strong

2021 is the first year of my country's "14th Five-Year Plan", and new breakthroughs have been made in photovoltaic power generation construction, showing three new characteristics: First, distributed photovoltaic will reach 107.5 million kilowatts, exceeding 100 million kilowatts, accounting for about all photovoltaic power generation grid-connected installed capacity. Second, among the newly added photovoltaic power generation grid-connected installed capacity, distributed photovoltaic increased by about 29 million kilowatts, accounting for about 55% of all new photovoltaic power generation installed capacity, and exceeded 50% for the first time in history. The development trend of simultaneous development with distributed is obvious; third, among the newly added distributed photovoltaic, household photovoltaic will exceed 20 million kilowatts in 2021, reaching about 21.5 million kilowatts, following the first time of more than 10 million kilowatts in 2020. Household photovoltaic have become an important force for my country to achieve carbon peaking, carbon neutrality goals and implement the rural revitalization strategy as scheduled. It can be seen that the development momentum of distributed photovoltaic in my country is strong, and it may further develop in the future.

Third : The scale of photovoltaic industry has expanded

At present, my country's photovoltaic power generation market has a relatively strong reserve scale. According to incomplete statistics, the total configuration scale of photovoltaic power plants in various provinces (including some wind power) this year is 89.28GW, and the scale of large-scale bases has been announced to exceed 60GW. Driven by the huge domestic photovoltaic power generation project reserve, the installed capacity is expected to exceed 75GW in 2022.

For more information, please refer to the "Research Report on Market Prospects and Investment Opportunities of China's Photovoltaic Industry" issued by China Business Industry Research Institute. At the same time, China Business Industry Research Institute also provides industrial big data, industry intelligence, industry research reports, industrial planning, park planning, 14th Five-Year Plan, industrial investment promotion and other services.

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